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New Quality Productivity Enabling Industrial Structural Upgrading in a Dual-Carbon Context

Author(s)

Dongchen Li

Affiliation(s)

School of International Education, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing,China

Abstract

This study utilizes Chinese provincial panel data from 2012 to 2023 to construct a comprehensive industrial structure coefficient. It empirically analyzes the impact of new quality productivity (NQP) on industrial structure advancement ("sophistication") and rationalization, with specific attention to carbon emission constraints. Key findings include the following points. Regarding core effects, NQP significantly promotes industrial structure upgrading, particularly advancement. However, this positive effect diminishes under high carbon emission levels, hindering structural optimization. The impact of NQP exhibits significant regional heterogeneity. A positive correlation emerges only in China's western region, while effects in eastern and central regions remain statistically insignificant. Policy interaction analysis through PSM-DID methodology reveals that the "14th Five-Year Plan for the Digital Economy" significantly boosts industrial upgrading in western China. Furthermore, NQP amplifies these policy benefits. Robustness tests indicate NQP correlates negatively with industrial structure rationalization but positively with advancement. This suggests its impact varies according to regional economic development stages. Collectively, these findings provide theoretical and empirical foundations for precisely formulating regional industrial policies under China's dual-carbon goals.

Keywords

Carbonneutral; Digital Technology Level; Industrial Structure Upgrading; New Quality Productivity

References

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